26 Jul · 21:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1556
FormLWLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Oracz
MP
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1446
FormLWWWW
62%
38%
🌟Paszkiewicz covers set handicap as underdog 92% (13)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H8-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-2)