26 Jul · 22:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JB
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Badura
ELO 1488
FormWWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Badura
MP
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1446
FormLWWWW
55%
45%
🌟Paszkiewicz covers set handicap as underdog 92% (13)
Fair odds · Badura
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+42
H2H1-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)