26 Jul · 22:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1479
FormWLLWW
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Durda
MD
🇵🇱Michal Durda
ELO 1716
FormWLWWW
26%
74%
Fair odds · Durda
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~76 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+237
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+237)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)