26 Jul · 23:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1365
FormLLLWL
83%Win chancemodel fair 1.20Durda
MD
🇵🇱Michal Durda
ELO 1717
FormWWLWW
17%
83%
🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 74% (19)
Fair odds · Durda
Model 83% · 1.20vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 70%Total ~75 pts
0-3
41%
1-3
29%
2-3
13%
3-2
8%
3-1
6%
Elo Gap+352
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+352)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)