26 Jul · 23:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AM
🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski
ELO 1405
FormWWLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Rudomina
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1489
FormWWWLL
41%
59%
🌟Rudomina stays under total as favourite 69% (13)
Fair odds · Rudomina
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+84
H2H44-42
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (44-42)