27 Jul · 00:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1363
FormLLLLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Marud
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1474
FormLWLLL
38%
62%
🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 74% (19)
Fair odds · Marud
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H46-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (46-26)