27 Jul · 00:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1483
FormLWWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Stapor
MT
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1389
FormLWLLW
60%
40%
🌟Stapor goes over total as favourite 66% (32)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
1-3
16%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+94
H2H18-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-10)