27 Jul · 01:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1481
FormWLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1514
FormWWLWL
46%
54%
🌟Gumulinski covers set handicap as favourite 64% (28)
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~80 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+33
H2H109-48
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.