27 Jul · 00:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1489
FormLWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Stapor
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1489
FormWLWWW
50%
50%
🌟Stapor goes over total as favourite 66% (32)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 52% · 1.91· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+0
H2H7-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.