27 Jul · 01:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1356
FormLLLLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1520
FormWWWLW
33%
67%
🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 74% (19)
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~79 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+164
H2H44-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+164)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (44-27)