27 Jul · 02:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1489
FormWLWLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Stapor
MT
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1390
FormWLLLL
61%
39%
🌟Stapor goes over total as favourite 66% (32)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+99
H2H19-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-10)