27 Jul · 03:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1471
FormLLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Stapor
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1496
FormWWLWL
47%
53%
🌟Stapor goes over total as favourite 66% (32)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 48% · 2.10· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+25
H2H7-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.