27 Jul · 03:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1521
FormLLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Oracz
MP
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1458
FormWLLWW
57%
43%
🌟Paszkiewicz covers set handicap as underdog 92% (13)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 43% · 2.33· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+63
H2H8-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-3)