27 Jul · 04:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OS
🇵🇱Oskar Sokolowski
ELO 1366
FormLLWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Paszkiewicz
MP
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1458
FormWLLWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Paszkiewicz
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 78% · 1.29· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~83 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
3-1
16%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+92
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)