27 Jul · 04:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1486
FormWWWLL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Durda
MD
🇵🇱Michal Durda
ELO 1698
FormLLWWW
28%
72%
Fair odds · Durda
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~75 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+212
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+212)