27 Jul · 04:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1494
FormLWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1528
FormWLLLW
46%
54%
🌟Oracz covers set handicap as favourite 68% (38)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 57% · 1.77· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+34
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.