27 Jul · 04:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1494
FormWWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1542
FormWWWWW
45%
55%
🌟Gumulinski covers set handicap as favourite 64% (28)
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~80 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+48
H2H110-48
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (110-48)