27 Jul · 05:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1480
FormWLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sobel
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1502
FormLLLWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Sobel
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+22
H2H36-32
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.