27 Jul · 06:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WS
🇵🇱Witold Stechly
ELO 1177
FormLWLLW
82%Win chancemodel fair 1.22Slawomir
JS
🇵🇱Janus Slawomir
ELO 1517
FormLWLWW
18%
82%
Fair odds · Slawomir
Model 82% · 1.22vsMarket 82% · 1.22· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 69%Total ~71 pts
0-3
41%
1-3
29%
2-3
12%
3-2
9%
3-1
6%
Elo Gap+340
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+340)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)