27 Jul · 06:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1317
FormWLWWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Dabrowski
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1417
FormLWWWL
39%
61%
🌟Piecowski covers set handicap as underdog 89% (18)
Fair odds · Dabrowski
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+100
H2H19-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-12)