27 Jul · 06:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1278
FormLLLWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Lilien
AL
🇵🇱Aleksander Lilien
ELO 1455
FormLLWWW
31%
69%
🌟Gluszek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 31% (13)
Fair odds · Lilien
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~76 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+177
H2H24-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+177)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-15)