27 Jul · 06:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1257
FormLLLLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Wolny
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1426
FormWWLLL
32%
68%
Fair odds · Wolny
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+169
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+169)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)