27 Jul · 06:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1484
FormWWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Rudomina
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1483
FormLLLWL
50%
50%
🌟Rudomina stays under total as favourite 69% (13)
Fair odds · Rudomina
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 41% · 2.47· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H52-54
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.