27 Jul · 06:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1338
FormLLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Schaniel
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1481
FormLLWWL
35%
65%
🔥 Underdog lean · Nowak🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 74% (19)
Fair odds · Schaniel
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~79 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+143
H2H48-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+143)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (48-23)