27 Jul · 07:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1425
FormWLWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Dabrowski
MP
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1318
FormLLLLL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Dabrowski
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+107
H2H9-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+107)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-8)