27 Jul · 10:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1467
FormLLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kostyk
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Kostyk
ELO 1497
FormLWWWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Kostyk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+30
H2H8-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.