27 Jul · 09:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1404
FormLLWWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Jadach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1570
FormWLWLL
32%
68%
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~78 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+166
H2H14-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+166)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-7)