27 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PP
🇵🇱Przemyslaw Perzynski
ELO 1508
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Perzynski
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1481
FormWLWLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Perzynski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+27
H2H4-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.