27 Jul · 10:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1625
FormWWWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Wichowski
WP
🇵🇱Wiktor Ptak
ELO 1515
FormWWLLW
62%
38%
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 49% · 2.04· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)