27 Jul · 11:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1404
FormLLWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Ptak
WP
🇵🇱Wiktor Ptak
ELO 1515
FormWWLLW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Ptak
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)