27 Jul · 10:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WS
🇵🇱Witold Stechly
ELO 1192
FormWWLLL
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Michalik
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1506
FormWWLLW
20%
80%
Fair odds · Michalik
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 68%Total ~73 pts
0-3
40%
1-3
28%
2-3
12%
3-2
9%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+314
H2H36-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+314)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-15)