27 Jul · 10:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1412
FormLLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Przewlocki
PP
🇵🇱Piotr Przewlocki
ELO 1436
FormLWLWL
47%
53%
🌟Przewlocki goes over total as favourite 68% (37)
Fair odds · Przewlocki
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 39% · 2.57· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+24
H2H2-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.