27 Jul · 10:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1322
FormLWWWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Lilien
AL
🇵🇱Aleksander Lilien
ELO 1473
FormWWWLL
34%
66%
🌟Piecowski covers set handicap as underdog 89% (18)
Fair odds · Lilien
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+151
H2H13-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+151)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-10)