27 Jul · 11:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1322
FormLWWWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Sobel
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1490
FormLLWLL
32%
68%
🌟Piecowski covers set handicap as underdog 89% (18)
Fair odds · Sobel
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+168
H2H24-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+168)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-8)