27 Jul · 13:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1263
FormWLLLL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Lilien
AL
🇵🇱Aleksander Lilien
ELO 1485
FormWWWWW
27%
73%
🌟Gluszek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 31% (13)
Fair odds · Lilien
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~74 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+222
H2H25-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+222)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-15)