27 Jul · 13:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1399
FormLLLLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Jadach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1564
FormWLWLW
33%
67%
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+165
H2H11-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+165)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-7)