27 Jul · 13:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1302
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Piecowski
MP
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1321
FormLWWLW
48%
52%
🌟Piecowski covers set handicap as underdog 89% (18)
Fair odds · Piecowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.