27 Jul · 13:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1411
FormWLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Przewlocki
PP
🇵🇱Piotr Przewlocki
ELO 1439
FormLWLWL
47%
53%
🌟Przewlocki goes over total as favourite 68% (37)
Fair odds · Przewlocki
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~80 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+28
H2H9-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.