27 Jul · 14:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
WP
🇵🇱Wiktor Ptak
ELO 1531
FormWWWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Wichowski
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1620
FormWLWWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+89
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)