27 Jul · 14:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PP
🇵🇱Przemyslaw Perzynski
ELO 1497
FormWLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Perzynski
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1495
FormWLLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Perzynski
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.