27 Jul · 15:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1260
FormLWLLL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Perzynski
PP
🇵🇱Przemyslaw Perzynski
ELO 1497
FormWLLWW
26%
74%
🌟Gluszek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 31% (13)
Fair odds · Perzynski
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~75 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+237
H2H10-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+237)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-7)