27 Jul · 16:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1260
FormLWLLL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Sobel
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1494
FormWLWLL
26%
74%
🌟Gluszek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 31% (13)
Fair odds · Sobel
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 83% · 1.21· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~75 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+234
H2H22-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+234)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-10)