27 Jul · 16:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1404
FormLWLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Ptak
WP
🇵🇱Wiktor Ptak
ELO 1519
FormLLWWW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Ptak
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)