27 Jul · 15:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1426
FormWWWLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Jadach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1558
FormLWWLW
36%
64%
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~78 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+132
H2H14-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+132)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-8)