27 Jul · 19:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MG
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1612
FormWLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Krutak
MK
🇵🇱Michal Krutak
ELO 1637
FormLWWWL
47%
53%
🌟Krutak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (30)
Fair odds · Krutak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+25
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.