27 Jul · 17:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1399
FormLLWLL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Wichowski
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1611
FormLLWWW
28%
72%
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 82% · 1.22· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~74 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+212
H2H73-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+212)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (73-21)