27 Jul · 18:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1681
FormLLWWW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Warzecha
JC
🇵🇱Jakub Cyndera
ELO 1498
FormWWLLL
69%
31%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~74 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+183
H2H33-30
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+183)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (33-30)