27 Jul · 18:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1417
FormLLWWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Wichowski
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1615
FormWLLWW
29%
71%
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 88% · 1.14· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~76 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+198
H2H92-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+198)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (92-25)