27 Jul · 18:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KM
🇵🇱Kacper Marchlewski
ELO 1332
FormWLLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Kowalczyk
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1424
FormLWWWW
40%
60%
🌟Kowalczyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (25)
Fair odds · Kowalczyk
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 46% · 2.18· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
3-1
16%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+92
H2H1-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)