27 Jul · 20:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1686
FormWLLWW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Warzecha
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1496
FormLWLWW
70%
30%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 53%Total ~74 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
26%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+190
H2H17-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+190)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-6)